I try not to pre-judge the quality of the music on an album based on the cover art, but of course it gives some sort of hint as to what sort of music you should expect from the album, like whether it's country or hip hop.
I have some friends who just released their fifth album. This time, as they were released on a new label with a new deal, they had no creative control over their cover art at. The label gave that job to some sort of cover designer that they were using. So sometimes the musicians themselves have very little direct influence on how the finished product ends up looking.
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