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Originally Posted by TheBig3
Yeah, that's probably true. But politics isn't a game of big numbers. We're talking about maybe 5 states, and certain counties that really determine the game in any year. Fivethirtyeight is giving Biden big odds in November.
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Yes but by all accounts the pro Biden vote is riding on the back of anti Trump sentiment. I don't think his odds have much of anything to do with him, his policies or his running mate. If the coronavirus or the economic situation somehow turned around before the election you won't see those kinds of odds.
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I think Biden took Pelosi's advice and took someone who's going to help him win.
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As opposed to what? There's nobody he was seriously considering who was not a moderate.
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I continue to go back to South Carolina. Twitter called Biden dead. Pundits told Biden he was dead. I'm sure this place had some comments. And yet, all the projected winners are gone now. If you want to win this thing you have to keep in mind the South Carolinian without a Twitter account.
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it wasn't looking great for him before SC but that was actually surprising considering his front runner status before the primaries. It was pretty surprising to see him not even get 3rd place. That was just a really poor showing on his part.
I don't believe it's going to be the older black people in SC who according to you don't have Twitter who will make the difference for him in the general election, obviously. Like I said I believe fundamentally it will depend on Trump and the current state of things. Biden could've selected Warren or even Sanders as a running mate and still won under the current conditions. He had no interest in doing so. He said flat out he would veto M4A even if it passed Congress.