Talent is most important. Like anything else, being in the right place at the right time (luck) can trump talent, but success probably correlates best (not perfectly) with talent. Who you know is definitely also important. The most successful artists are those with talent and end up with the right contacts.
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"Blow your tuneless trumpet, the choice is yours / We don't want the glamour, the pomp and the drums / The Dublin messiah scattering crumbs"
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