What could be more confusing than time travel? Alternate universes, of course...
My prediction: Sayid is Jacob reincarnated. The same way Locke is the Man in Black reincarnated. That is why it was so important to save Sayid.
Also, given that we now KNOW that the Man in Black IS the Smoke Monster, what does that reflect on the whole series? Going back to the very first episode, what do his actions mean? Lets think on what he has done:
-He kills Mr. Eko
-He tries to kill John Locke
-He listens to Ben and kills Whidmore's men
-He kills the pilot
What does it all mean?
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