TheBig3 |
10-04-2022 09:18 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by jwb
(Post 2218133)
is it cause you don't believe there will be that bad of a recession or do you just think biden will win even if the economy crashes in 2023? It's hard to imagine him getting a second term under those circumstances regardless of who is running against him
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Its because I think people are sick of Trump's ****. He only won in 16 by a handful of strategically located voted. Before anyone knew him, before Jan. 6. He can win the GOP nomination. He won't win enough votes in a general.
Re: the Recession, I won't pretend I know. But I really think there's a few economies right now. Some markets are overheated, others aren't. Housing is all but crashing, but eggs and milk are surging, while US gas is down $3. The recession should be easy in general. Though if you're in the wrong industry I think you're ****ed.
For politics, Biden keeps getting lucky. The GOP might blow a mid-term in which inflation is spiking, and the POTUS is ancient and unloved. Which says as much about them as it does Biden. I don't see any Republican that can both appeal to the base and the nation. Biden will not be bad enough - at this point in time - for anyone to replace him when they GOP freakshow hits fever pitch. A Qanon nut will do something stupid, or a governor is going to be shown as having done blackface, or a school shooting will happen, they won't be prepared, and they'll sink.
Obamacare and Abortion. The GOP wanted action for years and when it came time to speak to it, they failed. The Reagan Revolution is out of ideas. That's the assessment from Sept. 2022.
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