is it cause you don't believe there will be that bad of a recession or do you just think biden will win even if the economy crashes in 2023? It's hard to imagine him getting a second term under those circumstances regardless of who is running against him

Its because I think people are sick of Trump's ****. He only won in 16 by a handful of strategically located voted. Before anyone knew him, before Jan. 6. He can win the GOP nomination. He won't win enough votes in a general.

Re: the Recession, I won't pretend I know. But I really think there's a few economies right now. Some markets are overheated, others aren't. Housing is all but crashing, but eggs and milk are surging, while US gas is down $3. The recession should be easy in general. Though if you're in the wrong industry I think you're ****ed.

For politics, Biden keeps getting lucky. The GOP might blow a mid-term in which inflation is spiking, and the POTUS is ancient and unloved. Which says as much about them as it does Biden. I don't see any Republican that can both appeal to the base and the nation. Biden will not be bad enough - at this point in time - for anyone to replace him when they GOP freakshow hits fever pitch. A Qanon nut will do something stupid, or a governor is going to be shown as having done blackface, or a school shooting will happen, they won't be prepared, and they'll sink.

Obamacare and Abortion. The GOP wanted action for years and when it came time to speak to it, they failed. The Reagan Revolution is out of ideas. That's the assessment from Sept. 2022.

I think biden beat Trump because of covid. If we are in the midst of a bad recession I expect a similar fate for biden regardless of the opposition. He ran on not being Trump last time. I don't think that line is going to carry you as far when you are the incumbent and **** is on fire.

The UN just said something about the fed and other monetary institutions are dragging us into a global recession with the rate hikes. Things can get quite bad.

A recession isn't inherently bad. It does t have to be 10% unemployment. It could be 2%. There's just too much money in the economy right now for prices to stay normal. And it's unbalanced.

I've been laid off before. It sucks. No questions. But I also didn't get unemployment - so long as we don't let anyone starve/get evicted I think 2-4% is reasonable.

Mind you, Congress has a lot more tools than the Fed. No idea what the Dems are doing.

I doubt the Dems have any idea what the Dems are doing.

The devil is in the details...

Average long-term US mortgage rates dip to 6.66% this week

Now he's got the stoner vote. All they need to do is get them out of the house to ... oh. Wait.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzoRo_FeDrs

there are different types of recessions and it depends on your status and job field


also if ww3 does kick off and USA and RUssia both get MAD the one good thing we wont have to pay rent or mortgage anymore cus our houses will be gone thats if we survive the Nuclear blast

Good. About goddamn time.