I have no conception of being able to tell unless there's outward indicators. If you're a trans woman who doesn't quite pass or still has a slightly masculine voice or other characteristics, I can probably tell. If you pass then obviously I can't tell. If you are one of those ambiguous gender queer types I probably just assume you're just a chick with a punk rock haircut.
As far as being able to spot a trans person before they transition.. nah that's out of my realm.
I can spot gays and bis pretty well though whether closeted or not. Like I'm fairly convinced Obama might be bi tbh.
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