Political Discussions for "Adults"

~~jwb~~ · 03-05-2020, 10:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by elphenor

Florida was a swing state but idk if it still is really

I think it's gone, seems like Democrats will win Texas again before they win Florida

but who the **** knows

what do you figure has changed?

NC it's technically a swing state too but I'm pretty confident Trump will win pretty much the entire South.

~~jwb~~ · 03-05-2020, 10:40 AM

I don't think so, with regard to Florida. It's been a swing state for as long as I remember. It was never solidly blue. And in terms of state government it's always been red from what I recall.

1) I don't believe that snow birds moving down there is any sort of new thing or that it's changed much in recent years. If anything it slowed down due to rising real estate prices and the housing crash.

2) If you look at the map for the results, Trump lost in South Florida by a significant margin. He lost the county he has his resort in, Palm Beach. He lost in Orlando and Tampa areas. He won the state by a little less than 1%, which is around what Obama won by in 2012. It's likely that Hillary could've won Florida if she was an even slightly better candidate.

~~jwb~~ · 03-05-2020, 10:54 AM

Also according to Google Trump won Texas by 9%. I don't see Bernie changing that.

And Bernie would probably do worse in Florida than a moderate would by scaring the old people and alienating the Cuban and Venezuelan refugees who have a visceral reaction to the word socialism.

~~jwb~~ · 03-05-2020, 12:01 PM

Public Enemy fires Flavor Flav after dispute over Bernie Sanders rally

lol

~~jwb~~ · 03-05-2020, 01:32 PM

I think I heard Michigan's gov just endorsed Biden

Warren needs to endorse Bernie and Bernie needs to take off the kids gloves with Biden and stop preambling every meek attack on Biden with "Joe's a good friend of mine." No he's not. Grow a pair ffs.

OccultHawk · 03-05-2020, 02:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by elphenor

very true

but would it even help

only hope is all of the Warren support goes to Bernie which I find p unlikely

It’s over

It’s America

Lucem Ferre · 03-05-2020, 03:22 PM

I'm still hanging to my original prediction.

If Biden beats Bernie then I think Trump will win.

WWWP · 03-05-2020, 03:23 PM

Trump is going to win anyway.

OccultHawk · 03-05-2020, 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by elphenor

I see you were just totally wrong about Warren staying in yo

we might be dummies trying to predict anything anymore

Is that for me?

Fact: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will turn 35, the minimum age required to serve as president, on Oct. 13, 2024.

OccultHawk · 03-05-2020, 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by elphenor

Yes it was for you biatch

You don’t have any hope left do you?

03-05-2020, 10:40 AM	#5052 (permalink)
~~jwb~~ Account Disabled Join Date: Jul 2019 Posts: 4,403	I don't think so, with regard to Florida. It's been a swing state for as long as I remember. It was never solidly blue. And in terms of state government it's always been red from what I recall. 1) I don't believe that snow birds moving down there is any sort of new thing or that it's changed much in recent years. If anything it slowed down due to rising real estate prices and the housing crash. 2) If you look at the map for the results, Trump lost in South Florida by a significant margin. He lost the county he has his resort in, Palm Beach. He lost in Orlando and Tampa areas. He won the state by a little less than 1%, which is around what Obama won by in 2012. It's likely that Hillary could've won Florida if she was an even slightly better candidate.

03-05-2020, 10:54 AM	#5053 (permalink)
~~jwb~~ Account Disabled Join Date: Jul 2019 Posts: 4,403	Also according to Google Trump won Texas by 9%. I don't see Bernie changing that. And Bernie would probably do worse in Florida than a moderate would by scaring the old people and alienating the Cuban and Venezuelan refugees who have a visceral reaction to the word socialism.

03-05-2020, 12:01 PM	#5054 (permalink)
~~jwb~~ Account Disabled Join Date: Jul 2019 Posts: 4,403	Public Enemy fires Flavor Flav after dispute over Bernie Sanders rally lol

03-05-2020, 01:32 PM	#5055 (permalink)
~~jwb~~ Account Disabled Join Date: Jul 2019 Posts: 4,403	I think I heard Michigan's gov just endorsed Biden Warren needs to endorse Bernie and Bernie needs to take off the kids gloves with Biden and stop preambling every meek attack on Biden with "Joe's a good friend of mine." No he's not. Grow a pair ffs.