bernie sanders 4 prez

~~John Wilkes Booth~~ · 08-17-2015, 10:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Frownland

New Hampshire only gets four electoral college votes. Being ahead with them doesn't indicate much in Bernie's favour.

winning the first few states in the primaries means quite a bit in terms of establishing a forward momentum, actually. why else would top tier politicians waste so much time in iowa and new hampshire of all places

Josef K · 08-17-2015, 11:43 PM

Clinton is still doing way better in South Carolina though, which is pretty important because minorities are such a huge part of the Democratic coalition and Iowa and New Hampshire are really white states. I definitely think he has a chance, something about which I've changed my mind, and I think (and hope) if he does well in Iowa and New Hampshire he'll obviously have better numbers in the rest of the country as a result, but it's really hard to underestimate the amount of institutional support Clinton has, and it's not unreasonable to think that Sanders is going to fall in the polls again.

**Frownland** · 08-18-2015, 06:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by John Wilkes Booth

winning the first few states in the primaries means quite a bit in terms of establishing a forward momentum, actually. why else would top tier politicians waste so much time in iowa and new hampshire of all places

It gets your name out there due to the media circus, but aside from that those states are pennies in the electoral college.

~~John Wilkes Booth~~ · 08-18-2015, 10:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Frownland

It gets your name out there due to the media circus, but aside from that those states are pennies in the electoral college.

aside from the media circus, the campaigns really don't amount to much

the media circus is everything

electoral college? i could be wrong but i don't think that even applies to the primaries

08-17-2015, 11:43 PM	#2 (permalink)
Josef K A Jew on a motorbike! Join Date: Mar 2014 Location: Ann Arbor, MI Posts: 800	Clinton is still doing way better in South Carolina though, which is pretty important because minorities are such a huge part of the Democratic coalition and Iowa and New Hampshire are really white states. I definitely think he has a chance, something about which I've changed my mind, and I think (and hope) if he does well in Iowa and New Hampshire he'll obviously have better numbers in the rest of the country as a result, but it's really hard to underestimate the amount of institutional support Clinton has, and it's not unreasonable to think that Sanders is going to fall in the polls again.